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BlockTower Capital's Ari Paul Doubts US Will Establish Bitcoin Strategic Reserve by 2028

BlockTower Capital's CIO, Ari Paul, expresses skepticism about the US creating a Bitcoin strategic reserve by 2028, despite bullish sentiment around the idea.

Ari Paul, Chief Investment Officer of BlockTower Capital, has voiced strong doubts about the United States government establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve within the next four years. While such a move could be highly bullish for Bitcoin, Paul sees it as highly improbable in the near term.


Golden Bitcoin symbolizing the debate over a potential US Bitcoin strategic reserve.
Analysts doubt the US will establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve by 2028 despite ongoing speculation.

Key Points:


Skepticism on US Bitcoin Reserve:


  • Ari Paul of BlockTower Capital offers 10:1 odds against the US creating a Bitcoin strategic reserve by 2028.

  • Despite potential bullish impacts, Paul views this scenario as highly unlikely.


Possible Political Statements:


  • Paul suggests it’s plausible for future political leaders, particularly Trump, to make statements about not selling government-held Bitcoin.

  • He clarifies that such statements would not equate to establishing an official Bitcoin strategic reserve.


Current Government Holdings:


  • The US government already holds Bitcoin, often through confiscations.

  • An official declaration or executive order would be required to formalize a Bitcoin strategic reserve.


Speculation and Rumors:


  • Social media speculates that Trump might announce plans for a Bitcoin strategic reserve if re-elected.

  • Figures like Simon Dixon and Dennis Porter discuss the inevitability and benefits of such a reserve.


Geopolitical and Economic Factors:


  • Investor Mark Cuban believes geopolitical instability and inflation may drive Bitcoin to become a global reserve asset.

  • Broader acceptance of Bitcoin reserves could have significant implications for global finance.



While the notion of the US creating a Bitcoin strategic reserve is seen as highly unlikely by BlockTower Capital's Ari Paul, it continues to generate discussion and speculation within the crypto community. The idea remains a topic of debate, reflecting broader questions about Bitcoin’s future role in global finance.


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