The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a stark warning, predicting a highly active hurricane season for 2024. This news comes on the heels of a concerning trend: eight consecutive years of above-average hurricane activity in the
Experts attribute this heightened activity to two key factors: warm ocean temperatures and the anticipated development of La Niña, a climate pattern characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. These conditions create a breeding ground for powerful storms.
"High ocean heat content and the anticipated development of La Nina event are expected to fuel a very, very, very active hurricane season this year," said Clare Nullis, WMO spokesperson.
The urgency for preparedness is undeniable. Nullis emphasized, "It only takes one landfalling hurricane to set back years and years of socio-economic development."
The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA) bolsters this warning, forecasting a range of 17 to 25 named storms – significantly higher than the average of 14. Furthermore, NOAA predicts 8 to 13 of these storms will develop into full-blown hurricanes.
This heightened activity is particularly worrisome when viewed through the lens of climate change. Over the past two decades, the Earth's average temperature has risen steadily. Warmer oceans fuel more powerful storms, leading to increased risks of flooding, storm surge, and devastating winds.
Studies published in leading scientific journals highlight the potential consequences of climate change for the next decade. These studies predict a rise in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including hurricanes.
Related: https://www.meowdini.news/post/warming-climate-threatens-rise-of-destructive-lake-tsunamis-in-alaska
The brunt of this impact will be felt by vulnerable communities, particularly small island developing states in the Caribbean. As Nullis pointed out, these regions "suffer disproportionately both in terms of economic losses and losses to life."
The good news? Early warnings have proven effective in saving lives. The WMO emphasizes the importance of robust early warning systems and public preparedness campaigns.
While we cannot control the weather, we can be prepared. Let's heed the warnings, take action to mitigate climate change, and protect ourselves from the potential devastation of this upcoming hurricane season.
Atlantic.
Source: Reuters, xm.com
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