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China's Green Aluminum Dreams Dampened by Erratic Rainfall and Power Cuts

China's ambitious plan to green its massive aluminum industry, a significant contributor to global carbon emissions, has hit a snag due to erratic rainfall and power cuts. This setback casts doubt on the feasibility of the multi-billion dollar project.


China, responsible for nearly 60% of global aluminum production, is under pressure to reduce its carbon footprint. This initiative aimed to achieve that by shifting production from coal-fired smelters in the north to facilities powered by clean hydropower in the southwest province of Yunnan.


Yunnan, known for its scenic landscapes and agricultural products like tea, coffee, and mushrooms, seemed like the perfect location. Lured by promises of cheap hydropower, China Hongqiao Group and other companies embarked on a large-scale relocation effort. The plan involved moving a staggering 6.56 million metric tons of aluminum production capacity – roughly 15% of China's total – to this southwestern province.


However, these green ambitions are facing a harsh reality.  Unpredictable rainfall patterns, potentially linked to climate change, have caused water levels in Yunnan's rivers and reservoirs to dwindle. This, in turn, has resulted in unreliable hydropower generation, jeopardizing the entire project's success.


Investigations by Reuters, involving interviews with industry experts, analysts, and a review of company documents and official reports, revealed a sobering truth. The insufficient hydropower supply has significantly hampered the relocation effort. Only slightly more than half of the planned capacity shift has materialized so far.

Faced with this challenge, some smelters have been forced to slow down or even shelve their expansion plans altogether. Others are scrambling to find alternative locations with more reliable power sources.


This setback highlights the complexities involved in transitioning towards a greener future. While China's commitment to reducing its carbon footprint is commendable, achieving this goal requires a multi-pronged approach. Reliance on renewable resources, while crucial, needs to be coupled with robust infrastructure and alternative solutions to maintain production stability.



Source: Reuters

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